This is a collection of papers about climate science. It includes some, though not all, of the seminal papers that mark important milestones in either the science or the public's understanding of the science. And in case you think that the public only learnt about greenhouse gases recently, I've started to put together a collection of old newspaper articles on the blog. These show that as long ago as 1884 at least, even people who lived in rural South Australia knew about greenhouse gases (those who read the paper, anyway).
Attribution of the present‐day total greenhouse effect, Schmidt et al 2010
Gavin Schmidt - Taking the measure of the greenhouse effect - a good article on attribution on the NASA website
Robert A. Berner (2005) GEOCARBSULF: A combined model for Phanerozoic atmospheric O2 and CO2
Robert A. Berner and Zavareth Kothavala (2001) GEOCARB III: A Revised Model of Atmosperic CO2 over Phanerozoic Time
Representative Concentration Pathways: An Overview (2011) van Vuuren et al
NOAA paleoclimate temperature reconstructions - list of papers and a chart
NASA Vostok ice core records with animated temperature chart
Mulvaney et al (2012), Nature Recent Antarctic Peninsula warming relative to Holocene climate and ice-shelf history
Climatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Global Warming? by Wallace S. Broecker, published in Science in 1975
Restoring the Quality of Our Environment - Report of the Environmental Pollution Panel President's Science Advisory Committee (to Lyndon B Johnson, 1965) ; Appendix by Roger Revelle et al
The Carbon Dioxide Theory of Climatic Change by Gilbert N. Plass (1956); Tellus Vlll
IPCC 2007 - compendium of science etc
Four degrees and beyond - Royal Society edition March 2011
Copenhagen Diagnosis - update for Copenhagen
State of the Climate - CSIRO / BoM Australia March 2010
State of the Climate 2010 - CSIRO / BoM Australia 2010 updated
The Antarctic Climate (Pew Centre fact sheet)
Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (SCAR 2009)
Antarctica's Future (SCAR Feb 2010 slides - pdf)
Earth’s Annual Global Mean Energy Budget (Kiehl and Trenberth, 1997)
The Definition of El Nino (Trenberth, 1997)
Attribution of the present‐day total greenhouse effect (Schmidt et al, 2010)
Marine Climate Change in Australia - simple overview - CSIRO
Reconstructed changes in Arctic sea ice over the past 1,450 years, Kinnard et al (Dec 2011), Nature
Trenberth, Kevin E., John T. Fasullo, Jeffrey Kiehl, 2009: Earth's Global Energy Budget. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 311–323.
Kiehl, J. T. and Trenberth, K. E., 1997: Earth's Annual Global Mean Energy Budget. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 197-208.
Broecker et al (2010) Putting the Younger Dryas Cold Event into Context
Richard B Alley (2000) The Younger Dryas cold interval as viewed from central Greenland
Meteorologica by Aristotle, circa 350 BC
Remarques générales sur les températures du globe terrestre et des espaces planétaires by Jean Baptiste Joseph Fourier 1824 - translated by Ebeneser Burgess.
Mémoire sur les Températures du Globe Terrestre et des Espaces Planétaires. by Jean Baptiste Joseph Fourier 1827 - translated by R. T. Pierrehumbert with footnotes by the translator
The Bakerian Lecture.-On the Absorption and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connexion of Radiation, Absorption, and Conduction. By John Tyndall 1861
Guy Stewart Callendar (1938) - The Artificial Production of Carbon Dioxide and its Influence on Temperature
IEA 2011 CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion (Highlights - statistics)
Multi-party committee - Clean Energy Agreement - Australia - Carbon Pricing Scheme
How to avoid being swiftboated (Juan Cole)
Gallant, Ailie J. E., David J. Karoly, 2010: A Combined Climate Extremes Index for the Australian Region. J. Climate, 23, 6153–6165
The Age article on the above
Karoly article on 2009 fires in Realclimate.org
RealClimate - Butterflies, tornadoes and climate modelling
Skeptical Science - Chaos theory and global warming: can climate be predicted?
Edward Lorenz (1972) - The Butterfly Effect
RealClimate - Chaos and Climate
Wikipedia - Chaos Theory
Taking a break from fishing.