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Evan Jones is ALIVE and well...still plugging away at those Stations Data...won't be long now...prom

Recent post by Evan Jones concerning his pet project for Anthony Watt on Disquis

You have no idea what you are talking about. You are blowing smoke.

1.) BEST proves no such thing. BEST homogenizes good stations with the bad. The BEST method addresses jumps. It is not equipped to deal with gradual, systematic data skew.

2.) That's just silly. (Ignorant and arrogant also spring to mind.) Anthony found nothing of the sort -- as we now wait for Dr. Nielsen-Gammon to put the final polish on the Monte Carlos.

Sheesh. You-all don't have to shoot in the dark. All you have to do is ask.

3.) Your latest little effort involves arbitrarily eliminating the right 
stations so that those that are left give you the answer you wanted.

That comment is nonsense and absolutely false (not to mention risible). First, there is nothing arbitrary about it. Second, the stations we dropped show even less warming than the ones we retained.

4.) We anticipated such accusations. There is no cherrypicking, whatever. Quite the opposite: we even rebin the data several different ways, including the result for what we dropped as well as what we retained. We will be providing tools for complete replication. We will also include the excel sheets so you can add, drop, and/or re-rate stations to your heat's content, if you wish to challenge our results.

Yes. that is my assertion.

By the way, I finally got around to running the numbers by month as well as by year. The result is that not only do the poorly sited stations warm faster than well sited stations in all nine regions, but they also do so (over CONUS) in all 12 months. Like I've been saying all along, this ain't no artifact


Boy, would I love to survey those. (The one at Nuuk is abominably placed. Class 4. And a CRS, to boot. But that's just one of them.)

Of course the issue is not whether there is warming here or in the Arctic. Clearly there is. The issue is how much, how fast. The well sited stations do indeed show warming. It is just that they show an awful lot less warming than the poorly sited stations.

So expect a big splash when the research and data are all finished. It will be a bigger event in the Media than Climategate.

Just what Trump ordered.

Comments

  • But about that ultimate physical thermometer the Cryosphere?

  • Recent post by Evan Jones concerning his pet project for Anthony Watt on Disquis

    You have no idea what you are talking about. You are blowing smoke.

    1.) BEST proves no such thing. BEST homogenizes good stations with the bad. The BEST method addresses jumps. It is not equipped to deal with gradual, systematic data skew.

    2.) That's just silly. (Ignorant and arrogant also spring to mind.) Anthony found nothing of the sort -- as we now wait for Dr. Nielsen-Gammon to put the final polish on the Monte Carlos.

    Sheesh. You-all don't have to shoot in the dark. All you have to do is ask.

    3.) Your latest little effort involves arbitrarily eliminating the right 
    stations so that those that are left give you the answer you wanted.

    That comment is nonsense and absolutely false (not to mention risible). First, there is nothing arbitrary about it. Second, the stations we dropped show even less warming than the ones we retained.

    4.) We anticipated such accusations. There is no cherrypicking, whatever. Quite the opposite: we even rebin the data several different ways, including the result for what we dropped as well as what we retained. We will be providing tools for complete replication. We will also include the excel sheets so you can add, drop, and/or re-rate stations to your heat's content, if you wish to challenge our results.

    Yes. that is my assertion.

    By the way, I finally got around to running the numbers by month as well as by year. The result is that not only do the poorly sited stations warm faster than well sited stations in all nine regions, but they also do so (over CONUS) in all 12 months. Like I've been saying all along, this ain't no artifact


    Boy, would I love to survey those. (The one at Nuuk is abominably placed. Class 4. And a CRS, to boot. But that's just one


  • Dear Citizen challenge,
    Ive known Evan for some years now....we exchanged thousands of comments ....the actual does not matter to him and he is motivated by promoting "lukewarmism", as he calls it. This is tied to his political/cultural belief system. Just thought I would show those interested his " progress" regarding the Anthony Watt sponsored paper. Believe me, I hope his results indicate we have more time to act, but in actuality that would mean just procrastinating a while longer. 
    citizenschallenge
  • Be still, my beating heart. (As a participant in the peer-review climate science community, this is one of the main reasons I voted for Trump.)

    And I can't even jump up and down for joy or somebody's gonna put me on a list. #B^)


    White House says climate funding is ‘a waste of your money’

    Evan Jones

    Well, speaking as one who is dealing with climate change on a peer-review level, all I can say is . . . YIPPEE

  • Evan Jones

    A lot of people would like that. But no such luck.

    We decided to tackle CRS (Cotton Region Shelters) directly in followup rather than in the current paper. In the current paper we will first make equipment conversion adjustments (for MMTS and ASOS/AWOS), and then compare CRS-only trends with Majority-MMTS/ASOS trends to demonstrate the difference.

    These results can be used as a basis for adjustment, of course, but we'll tackle that one in followup. And we'll have a crude but effective microsite adjustment method by then. And Dr. N-G has devised a killer infill method.

    So I had to redo the numbers for equipment conversion jumps, but without CRS anomaly adjustments. So now J-NG needs to run the monte carlos yet again

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